Editor in Chief: Moh. Reza Huwaida Friday, April 26th, 2024

Taliban Divide and Rule Policy

Recently, Afghan Taliban sent individual letters to Afghan leaders to negotiate with them individually. Apparently they may claim that they want to settle their issues with each political group leader in order to leave nearly nothing unsettled. However, neither the tactic of divide and rule is new nor Taliban is a new group that Afghan citizens not to know their tactics and intents.
Divide and rule policy of Taliban to gain and maintain power by breaking up larger concentrations of power into pieces that individually have less power was applied even when the ultraconservative political and religious faction emerged in Afghanistan in the mid-1990s following the withdrawal of Soviet troops, the collapse of Afghanistan’s communist regime, and the subsequent breakdown in civil order. In mid-90s when they started their activities in South to bring peace in the country, they usually started fighting with one group under a specific pretext and then told other parties that they had no issue with them. However, they usually started with another group and saying the same thing! This tactic worked and they could advance in the South.
Then, they gradually stretched their presence in other parts of the country. Sometimes they fought with a group under the name of ethnicity, sometimes under the name of religion and so on. Even, when they conquered North, they killed Shai hazaras saying they were not Muslims. They did the same with Tajiks and Uzbeks in other parts.
Now, after two decades, they want to take power with the same old policy. As Taliban know they neither have the support of the majority of Afghan people nor they have the military power to defeat Afghanistan National Security and Defense Forces, they want to sustain power by breaking up the Republic Team of power into pieces that individually have less power than the ruler implementing the policy. 
Talban consider other groups as clients. According to Taliban’s approach they control resources, offering their clients a political advantage, whereas the client receives a material benefit. Therefore, clientelism is an exchange relationship, which is based on reciprocity by mutually beneficial transactions. However, based on this approach Taliban have disproportionate power and full autonomy about how they distribute their assets to other groups. Therefore, the policy rule has to be analyzed within this context. Furthermore, clientelism describes an exchange relationship between unequals in terms of wealth, status or influence client are unequal actors and exchange unequal goods in their clientelistic relationship.   
To Unite or Lose the Game
Taliban want to fracture Republic’s political leadership and undermine the Afghan government there ahead of critical negotiations over how much control it will have in the country’s future. One of the weaknesses of the Afghanistan Negotiations Team is the peace plans that are circulating in the Afghan capital, including one from the United States and rival proposals from Gulbuddin Hekmatyar and Abdurrashid Dostum and others. Unfortunately, the visions are wildly different in substance and depth and they are mainly eyeing how to secure more power for themselves amid such a move instead of considering the national interests of Afghanistan.
Afghan people and Leaders remain optimistic that they can present a united front despite widening divisions between them. Considering the divides any lack of consensus could place the Taliban at a further advantage in negotiations over who controls post-settlement Afghanistan.
Therefore, at this stage what Afghans need is a very unified position, because any division will be a strategic mistake and a gift to the Taliban.
So far The Taliban’s political office has acted untidily throughout negotiations with the Afghan government as advised by ISI Generals. However, peace plans that have been publicly released have been counterproductive. It can break down political consensus rather than bolster unity among the Republic team.
Taliban considering the differences between Afghan leaders and being aware of their thirst of power, have sent individual letters to Afghan leaders proposing to talk about the peace process with them. As the peace plans of these leaders showed they are mainly focused on personal and ethnic Agendas and not the national interests of Afghanistan. Such acts can catalyze the divide and rule policy of Taliban. Afghanistan is just starting a new chapter in its history; a very strategic and challenging chapter that if Afghan leasers act unitedly in the peace talks they not only can preserve the achievements of the country but also can shape a peaceful and prosperous future for Afghanistan. However, if they continue their division and pursue their personal and ethnic based agendas, they will pave the for the Taliban to overrun the country again.