The civil war in Afghanistan in 90s that erupted as a result of Soviet defeat paved the path for Taliban to overthrow the government in center and extent its rule to over 90% of Afghan territory. Today, if the West leaves Afghanistan without having resolved the war in here through a proper strategy, there is no guarantee that the country would not fall into 90s-like chaos and Taliban would not grab power. After all, this has been the main objective of Taliban’s almost 12-year long resistance to once again rule the Afghan people.

Indeed, in a large number of districts in Afghanistan, Taliban’s influence is growing. In such districts, this is the Taliban who start ruling from the sunset until the dawn. Taliban have been trying to keep their influence growing in various parts of Afghanistan. Their influence, growing operations and media statements are enough to clarify their intention of regaining power in Afghanistan.

As of recent history, governments installed in Kabul have fallen all at once – within days or weeks. Examples can be the governments of Taliban, Mujahidin, and Dr. Najeeb. What fate is awaiting the Afghan government should not be expected to be different from Mujahidin and Russian back governments, if the world failed to reach an appropriate solution to the ongoing conflict in Afghanistan.

Fear of return of insurgents to power or even eruption of a bloody civil war is occupying more space in the minds and hearts of the people of Afghanistan. Up to a great extent this fear is due expanding length and breadth of violence in the country. The lingering war has cost precious lives of thousands of military personnel and civilians and it still is taking toll. 

Suicide attacks, targeted killings, unsafe highways and abductions that Afghans have to face on daily basis reduce their hope and add to their disappointments. As Afghanistan will move ahead, such acts brutality are expected to further increase and put the little stability of Afghanistan at the verge of destruction.

The next few years are crucial and decisive for the future of Afghanistan. Taliban will intensify their insurgency the main purpose of which is to topple the Afghan government and most probably they will not pay any attention to calls for resolving the conflict through table talks until they are offered significant power in Afghan government. It has to be seen how the Afghan government will tackle the situation when there will bereduced international military and financial support?