The 90’s civil war in Afghanistan that erupted as a result of Soviet defeat paved the way for Taliban to overthrow the government in center and extend its rule over up to 90% of Afghan territory. And Taliban hosted al-Qaida.

Today, if the West leaves Afghanistan without having resolved the war in here through a proper strategy, there is no guarantee that the country would not fall into 90s-like chaos and Taliban would not grab more power. After all, this has been the main objective of Taliban’s almost 12-year long resistance to once again rule the Afghan people.

Fear of return of insurgents to power or even eruption of a bloody civil war is occupying more space in the minds and hearts of the people of Afghanistan. Up to a great extent this fear is due to expanding length and breadth of violence in the country. The lingering war has costed precious lives of thousands of military personnel and civilians and it still is taking toll.

As Afghanistan moves nearer to the crucial year – 2014 -, violence is expected to gain more momentum. Although winter is considered a period when the graph of insurgency traditionally goes down, last winter the Taliban launched a number of coordinated attacks in Kabul and other provinces of Afghanistan.

Indeed, in a large number of districts in Afghanistan, Taliban’s influence is growing. In such districts, this is the Taliban who start ruling from the sunset until the dawn. The Taliban have been making much bloody effort to keep their influence growing in various parts of Afghanistan.

Taliban’s influence in a large number of Afghan districts, growing operations and media statements are enough to clarify their intentions. Suicide attacks, targeted killings, unsafe highways and abductions that Afghans have to face on daily basis reduce their hope and add to their disappointments.

As maintained by US high military authorities, Afghanistan's future security will remain dependent on international troops for many years after most foreign combat forces leave by the end of 2014. The quantity of foreign forces that will remain in Afghanistan is still remains vague, although a Loya Jirga has been called by the government to decide upon the fate of the Bilateral Security Agreement (BSA) between Afghanistan and the US.

The BSA, once finalized and approved, is expected to allow between 6,000-9,000 American troops in Afghanistan who will continue to support the Afghanistan National Security Forces. Presence of foreign forces would mean discouragement and disappointment of terrorists who are pursuing the strategy of destructing Afghanistan. BSA will define the future of Afghanistan.