The degree of uncertainty, concerning the future of Afghanistan, subsequent to suspension of the fate of BSA has widened, eroding the confidence of ordinary masses including business persons, investors, non-public organizations, educationalists, industrialists and people from different walks of life, on the government. The corruption plagued government has earned infamy and notoriety – not trusted to be relied. There can be two options left to business community. Pursuing the “wait and see” stratagem commands sufficient time – hence renders unaffordable. Withdrawing the investments from Afghanistan certainly will be the other immediate option left to their discretion. Neither of the options matches the interests of war-torn Afghanistan.
The longer Afghanistan-Washington security deal takes to get finalized, the deeper harms Afghanistan earns. If the incumbent government is confident enough tackling all socio-economical and political problems of the country, on its own without seeking help from international community – then its stance turns to be rational; otherwise, it becomes a lame excuse.
An identical concern is underlined by the former Washington Post report unearthing whilst warning the progress in Afghanistan over the past three years is likely to be seriously eroded by 2017 even if Western powers continue to support Kabul financially, citing an intelligence assessment. The report is compiled by new National Intelligence Estimate, which includes input from 16 US intelligence agencies. The report predicts that the Taliban and other powerbrokers will increase their influence even if the United States leaves behind a few thousand troops and continues to fund authorities in Kabul.
The report certainly intimates to different issues seizing Afghanistan. The impasse of security accord doesn’t serve the interest of Afghanistan and the US whilst President Karzai is hesitant to sign it. He owes a stance not to sign the agreement with Washington unless United States promises to end airstrikes and raids on homes, in addition to helping broker peace talks with the Taliban group in a bid to end the violence in the country.
Factually Karzai’s later stance seems more realistic than former. The US strives to reserve the option of independent night raids against remnants of Al-Qaida to give them a hard blow. The Afghan led raids might not produce the expected result, keeping several incidents of insider attacks in view. Karzai reiterates US of brokering a deal between his government and Taliban to end violence seems insubstantial. Any deal with Taliban can’t assure restoration of peace; Taliban will not practically abandon violence – making it the worst deal.
Finally the report truly mentions the socio-political and economical problems Afghanistan has to face, despite the BSA upheld. Though it pledges economic riches being the precondition for the delivery of billions of dollars in Western aid, over the next years, yet the government has to take sincere measures to keep the democratic system functioning by incorporation of self-reliance and esteem.