Editor in Chief: Moh. Reza Huwaida Saturday, July 6th, 2024

Does Delayed BSA Serve Afghanistan’s Interests?

At present, Afghanistan passes through numerous problems, uncertain political circumstance and unstable security condition stand to be the most immediate problems, pleading prior attention. The intensity of suspicion over irreversibility of ongoing situation multiplies with every advancing day, eroding the confidence of both foreigners and locals equally to the minimal degree; consequently huge off-putting impact is inflicted on socio-economic uplift of the country.

The delayed if not denied fate of BSA, is one of the underlying reasons behind the sustenance of status quo, which may not practically serve the interest of Afghanistan. If President Karzai finds that the ratification of BSA will not win socio-economic and political progress for Afghans he must continue the delay tactic. Else, it is not really reasonable to push the country on the avenues of uncertainty and instability.

President Karzai has not give a serious thought to the reiterates of US, asking for immediate signature of BSA. Recently, the White House urged the Karzai government to sign the bilateral security agreement (BSA) as soon as possible, arguing the delay is negatively affecting its confidence and that of its allies in the region. The most evident drawback the non-endorsement of BSA earns for Afghanistan will be the economic downfall, prompted. Fearing worsening political conditions, many investors either halted their investment or planned to draw down their investment. The international NGOs operating variant social programs are directly reliant on international troops, and renew their resolve to continue their mission conditioned to the presence of US troops post 2014.

The aforementioned gloomy concerns are also reflected from former report of Global Economic Prospects (GEP) of World Bank (WB). The report unearthed a good news for South Asia whose GDP growth is projected to improve to 5.7 percent in 2014, rising gradually to 6.7 percent in 2016, led mainly by recovering high income import demand and regional investment.

However, painting a grim picture of the Afghan economy, the World Bank (WB) estimated the country’s growth rate at 3.1 percent in the year 2013; which is a sharp drop from 14.4 percent in the previous year. The WB said the withdrawal of international forces would affect Afghanistan, as previously donor-financed expenditure would need to be financed from budget expenditure.

The BSA allows US military trainers and counterterrorism forces to remain in Afghanistan after the last American combat troops leave the country by December this year. This will ensure both political stability and security, given the insurgents and non-democratic forces trying to destabilize the system, are kept at bay. Taliban dreaming, to oust Kabul government subsequent to withdrawal of US forces, turn futile whilst afghan national army is well equipped and privileged with greater opportunity of continued training by international forces. So, doesn’t the enforcement of BSA guarantee politico-economic riches?