Editor in Chief: Moh. Reza Huwaida Wednesday, November 20th, 2019

Will the US - Iran War Benefit Anyone?

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Will the US - Iran War Benefit Anyone?

Few days ago, Iran shot down a United States RQ-4A Global Hawk BAMS-D surveillance drone with a khordad-3 surface-to-air missile over the Strait of Hormuz. It is said that the cost of the downed drone was some $150 million. Iranian officials claimed that the drone violated their airspace, while the U.S. officials initially claimed that the drone was in international airspace. The incident occurred amid rising tension between the two countries and nearly resulted in an armed confrontation.
Iranian Foreign Minister, Javad Zarif, tweeted a hand-drawn map of the drone’s alleged flight path through the Strait of Hormuz. “At 00:14 US drone took off from UAE in stealth mode & violated Iranian airspace,” Zarif wrote. “It was targeted at 04:05 at the coordinates (25°59’43″N 57°02’25″E) near Kouh-e Mobarak. We have retrieved sections of the US military drone in our territorial waters where it was shot down.” Zarif also tweeted that the U.S. is “lying about international waters.” Iranian Brigadier General Rahimzadeh also said that Iran had sent the U.S. “several warning” before downing the drone, according to Iran’s semi-official news agency, Tasnim.
In response to that, the U.S. performed cyber attacks on the IRGC’s missile weapons systems, announced new sanctions against Iran, and requested a closed-door U.N. Security Council meeting to address the regional tensions, reported by multiple sources. President Trump also ordered a military strike against some IRGC radar sites, but 10 minutes before the strike he aborted the order. In an interview which aired today by CNN, Trump said that the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Joseph Dunford significantly influenced his decision. However, he said there are two types of people around him termed as eagles that push to war and pigeons that encourage to peace and patience.
Moreover, President Donald Trump issued a warning to Iran Sunday, saying if the nation were to take further military action against the US, it could expect severe American retaliation. Trump made the comments during an interview with NBC’s Meet the Press that aired on Sunday in explaining why he decided not to order any physical military retaliation after Iran shot down a US drone it claimed was in its airspace.“What happened is, I said, ‘I am not going to do it. I will save it. If they do something else, it will be double,’” Trump said. He also said, “I am not looking for war and if there is, it will be obliteration like you have never seen before.”
This event was vastly reflected in the media; given the ideas and opinions were debated, there are two types of interpretations from why President Trump has refrained from attack on Iran at the final step. Some people call it as victory for Iran saying that Iran is not a weak country like Iraq, Syria and Afghanistan to let US win the war easily. While others assign it on policy of Trump as he is on the eve of elections and it is not a right time for him to engage in conflicts with Iran. There are also people who believe that the event was a kind of humiliation to the US but as a pride and glory for Iran.
Unfortunately, there were no one who assign it on victory all human beings, win of rationalism on extremisms  or as Trump termed it win of pigeons on eagles; If Trump had made some good decisions in his life, it was one the best ones because war is not in benevolence of any country in the world. In fact, it showed more his rationalism, futurism and patience than his weakness because the future of war is dark. Those who are interested in war they should come to see the result of war in Afghanistan, Iraq, Bahrain and Syria.
Both the United States and Iran are great countries that expected to play constructive roles in the world. There are many problems in the already turmoil word that threaten all human being, including Iran and America such as terrorism, war, climate change, migration, poverty and so on. Billions of people are living without the very basic necessities of life - food, water, housing and sanitation. According to a report 1.2 billion (20%) of the world population now lives on less that $1/day, another 1.8 billion (30%) lives on less than $2/day, 800 million go to bed hungry every day, and 30,000 - 60,000 die each day from hunger alone while every year around 80 million people are added to the current hungry populations. So, if today we engage to annihilate one and other tomorrow these issues will annihilate all of us.
Therefore, if the war happens, it deeply affects the entire region and the world; this will easily intensify the ongoing conflicts and crisis in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Afghanistan and also other parts of the world. The interruptions of oil exports from the Gulf, pushing prices to unprecedented heights, and also a global economic recession will be some of the consequences. Moreover, the Iran and US’s rivals will also try to intensify and trouble the water to fish in. while People of Iran and America have lots commonalities if the policy makers change their senseless hostile views to a constructive friendship.
Finally, if the war happens, it is more probably that US win the war but not necessarily with their goals and interests. With winning the war, it probably causes the collapse of the Iranian government and would create chaos and internal conflict in Iran which imposes several times more expenses to the US than Iraq and Afghanistan. Iran alone has more population than Iraq and Afghanistan, strategic geography, stronger soft and hard weapons. Consequently, going to war will not benefit anyone in the world.

Mohammad Zahir Akbari is the permanent writer of the Daily Outlook Afghanistan. He can be reached at mohammadzahirakbari@gmail.com

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